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  • Streeting rejects reports that Reeves will impose VAT on private healthcare in budget – UK politics live | Politics

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    Wes Streeting rejects reports that Reeves will impose VAT on private healthcare in budget

    Good morning. Keir Starmer is delivering his speech to the Labour conference later, and it is arguably the biggest personal fightback opportunity he will get this year. Pippa Crerar has written up the overnight briefing we got about the speech from Labour. But a conference speech is primarily just a rhetorical event; a budget is a fiscal event, and a policy event, and that is why the most important moment for Labour between now and the end of the year is the budget on 26 November.

    Starmer will address delegates with the media already braced for big tax rises this autumn, prompted by what Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, told the conference yesterday. Some of the papers are focusing on the general likelihood of tax increases.

    The front page of the Financial Times, with a headline reading ‘Labour opens door to Budget tax rise as Reeves appeals for fiscal discipline’
    Photograph: FT
    The front page of the Daily Express with a headline reading ‘It’s the same old tax rise pain with Labour’
    Photograph: Daily Express
    The front page of the i paper, with a headline reading ‘Reeves signals tax hikes - as workers face stealth rise of over £600’
    Photograph: The i paper
    The front page of the Metro, with a headline reading ‘Things can only get bitter’
    Metro splash Photograph: Metro

    But one newspaper has a more specific claim. The Daily Mail says that the governent is considering putting VAT on private healthcare in the budget. It says:

    And Whitehall sources told the Daily Mail that the Treasury was examining options for adding VAT to services that are currently exempt – with private healthcare and financial services said to be in the firing line.

    Putting VAT on private healthcare could raise £2bn for the Treasury, but would hit up to 8m middle-class families.

    The front page of the Daily Mail, with a headline reading ‘Reeves plots a VAT attack on private health’
    Photograph: Daily Mail

    Wes Streeting, the health secretary, has been doing the morning interview round. Normally ministers do not comment on budget matters. But Streeting could not have been clearer when he was on BBC Breakfast this morning. The presenter, Jon Kay, said he did not expect Streeting to comment directly on the story, but asked if he would say anything about the principle of taxing private healthcare. Streeting replied:

    I’m going to shock you. It’s not happening.

    Asked if he could guarantee that, Streeting said:

    Yup. Not happening.

    Streeting has been talking, among other things, about two big health-related announcements this morning.

    • NHS England is setting up what it calls an online hospital – NHS Online. It says: “The innovative new model of care will not have a physical site, instead digitally connecting patients to expert clinicians anywhere in England. The first patients will be able to use the service from 2027.” There are more details here.

    I will post more from the Streeting interviews soon.

    Here is the agenda for the day.

    9.30am: The conference opens. Speakers during the morning include Tracy Brabin, the mayor of West Yorkshire, at 10am, Hilary Benn, the Northern Ireland secretary, at 10.10am, Heidi Alexander, the transport secretary, at 10.20am, and Wes Streeting, the health secretary, at 11.50am.

    11.30am: Bridget Phillipson, the education secretary, takes part in a Q&A event at a Centre for Social Justice fringe.

    2pm: Keir Starmer delivers his speech to the conference.

    4pm: Lisa Nandy, the culture secretary, takes part in a Sky Sports Q&A event at the fringe.

    5pm: Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, takes part in a Tony Blair Institute Q&A event at the fringe.

    If you want to contact me, please post a message below the line when comments are open (normally between 10am and 3pm BST at the moment), or message me on social media. I can’t read all the messages BTL, but if you put “Andrew” in a message aimed at me, I am more likely to see it because I search for posts containing that word.

    If you want to flag something up urgently, it is best to use social media. You can reach me on Bluesky at @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social. The Guardian has given up posting from its official accounts on X, but individual Guardian journalists are there, I still have my account, and if you message me there at @AndrewSparrow, I will see it and respond if necessary.

    I find it very helpful when readers point out mistakes, even minor typos. No error is too small to correct. And I find your questions very interesting too. I can’t promise to reply to them all, but I will try to reply to as many as I can, either BTL or sometimes in the blog.

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    ‘Farage says go home, I say you are home’ – Streeting praises foreign health staff as he calls Reform UK ‘disaster’ for NHS

    Wes Streeting, the health secretary, told LBC this morning that Reform UK’s plan to rescind indefinite leave to remain as an immigration status, including from people who have already been told they can remain in Britain for good, would be a “disaster” for the NHS.

    Asked what impact it would have, he said:

    It would be a disaster.

    There are doctors, nurses, care workers, NHS staff earning less than £60,000 a year, who have come to this country, who have given back, not just through their taxes, but through their service to our country.

    If we were to send those people back, I think that would be a disaster.

    And my message that I’m giving in my speech Labour party conference today is, to those of you listening who are in that situation, who are fearing for your future now in the way that you weren’t some weeks ago, [Nigel] Farage says ‘go home’, I say ‘you are home’, and I’m grateful for the service that you give to our national health service, to our social care system and to our country.

    Streeting also said that Reform UK posed another threat to the NHS, because Farage has in the past expressed support for the idea of moving to an insurance-based health system. He went on:

    That’s a system that would check your pockets before your pulse. That’s a system that could ask for your credit card before you get your care.

    That’s not a future I think people in this country want. And I think if more people knew about Reform’s policies on the NHS, the less confident they would be.

    Streeting also said he was “shocked” by Farage’s disregard for science.

    When Nigel Farage was asked in the context of that row about paracetamol, and whether or not it posed a risk to pregnant women and their children, despite what all of the medical science and all of our doctors were saying, when he was asked whose side he was on, he said, ‘I don’t have a side.’

    Well, that’s not someone I think should be trusted with healthcare in our country.

    And the fact that he chose to give a platform at his conference to someone who said the Covid vaccine gave the royal family cancer says you can’t trust this man with your health.

    Streeting ended with a personal jibe.

    If that’s the sort of health advice Nigel Farage is taking, maybe that’s why he’s the same age as Brad Pitt but looks 20 years older.

    Wes Streeting being interviewed this morning. Photograph: Paul Ellis/AFP/Getty Images
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  • Netanyahu warns Israel will ‘finish the job’ in Gaza if Hamas rejects Trump peace plan – Middle East crisis live | Gaza

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    Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, have delivered an ultimatum to Hamas, warning the militant group to accept their 20-point peace plan for Gaza or face the consequences.

    The two leaders met at the White House in Washington on Monday then held a joint press briefing in which they hailed their proposal as a historic breakthrough and new chapter for the Middle East.

    Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu
    Donald Trump: ‘I hope that we’re going to have a deal for peace, and if Hamas rejects the deal … Bibi, you’d have our full backing to do what you would have to do.’ Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images

    But it was clear that Hamas had not been consulted and its position on the terms remained uncertain. Mahmoud Mardawi, a Hamas official, said the group had not even received the plan at the time of the announcement, the Reuters news agency reported. It was later briefed that Qatari and Egyptian mediators met with Hamas on Monday evening to provide the group with the peace plan.

    Both Trump and Netanyahu made clear that they were not offering Hamas a choice in the matter. If the group refused, Trump told reporters, “Israel would have my full backing to finish the job of destroying the threat of Hamas.

    “But I hope that we’re going to have a deal for peace, and if Hamas rejects the deal … Bibi, you’d have our full backing to do what you would have to do.”

    The Israeli prime minister said ominously: “If Hamas rejects your plan, Mr President, or if they supposedly accept it and then do everything to counter it, then Israel will finish the job by itself. This can be done the easy way or it can be done the hard way, but it will be done.”

    The plan was welcomed in principle by leaders in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Indonesia, Turkey, Pakistan and Egypt, who said they were ready to cooperate with the US to ensure its implementation.

    It was clear, however, that Hamas remained the key to whether Trump’s peace proposal gets off the ground. Experts and residents of Gaza said the absence of the group from negotiations and the plan’s demand that they renounce governance of the strip raised doubts about its viability.

    Keir Starmer called on Hamas to agree to the plan and “end the misery”, while the French president, Emmanuel Macron, said Hamas had no choice but to “follow this plan”.

    It’s 30 September 2025, it’s Matthew Pearce here, and this is the Guardian’s live coverage of all the latest developments in the Middle East.

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    Involvement of former UK prime minister Tony Blair in Trump’s peace plan draws criticism from Palestinian National Initiative

    Under the plan, a transitional authority – overseen by an international “Board of Peace” headed by Donald Trump and including Tony Blair – would govern Gaza until the Palestinian Authority completes a programme of “reform”.

    The authority, which oversees Palestinian affairs in the West Bank, welcomed Trump’s efforts and called for a comprehensive deal towards a “just peace on the basis of two-state solution”.

    Blair’s presence on the board has drawn criticism. Mustafa Barghouti, the general secretary of the Palestinian National Initiative, said: “We’ve been under British colonialism already.”

    “He has a negative reputation here. If you mention Tony Blair, the first thing people mention is the Iraq war.”

    The UK health secretary, Wes Streeting, has backed Tony Blair’s unspecified role in an interim authority in Gaza under Donald Trump’s peace plan.

    He told Times Radio: “Now, I know there will be people who will raise eyebrows about Tony Blair in particular, and will think critically about that because of his role in the Iraq war.

    “All I would say is that someone who also marched against the Iraq war, and opposed the Iraq war as I did, I also remember his legacy in Northern Ireland, and if he can bring that considerable skill set to bear of being able to broker peace between enemies, sworn enemies, then so much the better.”

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    What’s in Trump’s 20-point peace plan for Gaza?

    Robert Tait

    Robert Tait

    The White House peace plan for Gaza proposes an immediate end to the devastating war between Israel and Hamas that has raged in the coastal territory for nearly two years, while pointedly excluding the Palestinian militant group from any future governing role.

    Assuming both sides agree to a detailed list of conditions, the end of fighting will be accompanied by the release of all Israeli hostages, both dead and alive, “within 72 hours” of Israel publicly accepting the deal.

    In return for the release of hostages, Israel would release 250 Palestinians currently serving life sentences and 1,700 Palestinians in Gaza detained since the conflict started on 7 October 2023 after Hamas’ deadly attack on Israel. For every Israeli hostage whose remains are released, Israel will release the remains of 15 deceased Palestinians.

    The plan does not require a full Israeli withdrawal ahead of the release of the hostages. Rather, Israeli forces would withdraw to an agreed-upon line, inside Gaza, to prepare for a hostage release. The plan says that all military operations, including aerial and artillery bombardment, will be suspended during the release process and battle lines will remain frozen until “conditions are met for the complete staged withdrawal”.

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    Opening summary

    Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, have delivered an ultimatum to Hamas, warning the militant group to accept their 20-point peace plan for Gaza or face the consequences.

    The two leaders met at the White House in Washington on Monday then held a joint press briefing in which they hailed their proposal as a historic breakthrough and new chapter for the Middle East.

    Donald Trump: ‘I hope that we’re going to have a deal for peace, and if Hamas rejects the deal … Bibi, you’d have our full backing to do what you would have to do.’ Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images

    But it was clear that Hamas had not been consulted and its position on the terms remained uncertain. Mahmoud Mardawi, a Hamas official, said the group had not even received the plan at the time of the announcement, the Reuters news agency reported. It was later briefed that Qatari and Egyptian mediators met with Hamas on Monday evening to provide the group with the peace plan.

    Both Trump and Netanyahu made clear that they were not offering Hamas a choice in the matter. If the group refused, Trump told reporters, “Israel would have my full backing to finish the job of destroying the threat of Hamas.

    “But I hope that we’re going to have a deal for peace, and if Hamas rejects the deal … Bibi, you’d have our full backing to do what you would have to do.”

    The Israeli prime minister said ominously: “If Hamas rejects your plan, Mr President, or if they supposedly accept it and then do everything to counter it, then Israel will finish the job by itself. This can be done the easy way or it can be done the hard way, but it will be done.”

    The plan was welcomed in principle by leaders in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Indonesia, Turkey, Pakistan and Egypt, who said they were ready to cooperate with the US to ensure its implementation.

    It was clear, however, that Hamas remained the key to whether Trump’s peace proposal gets off the ground. Experts and residents of Gaza said the absence of the group from negotiations and the plan’s demand that they renounce governance of the strip raised doubts about its viability.

    Keir Starmer called on Hamas to agree to the plan and “end the misery”, while the French president, Emmanuel Macron, said Hamas had no choice but to “follow this plan”.

    It’s 30 September 2025, it’s Matthew Pearce here, and this is the Guardian’s live coverage of all the latest developments in the Middle East.

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  • Optus boss ‘has a lot of work to do’, Anika Wells says after meeting telco and Singtel in wake of triple-zero outages | Optus

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    The government has asked Optus’s parent company appoint an external reviewer to hold Optus to account after triple-zero outages this month, to address the “serious lack of confidence” Australians have in the telco.

    The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, said Optus had “let down its customers and has let down the nation” after two outages in less than a fortnight piled political and public pressure on the company.

    The communications minister, Anika Wells, met Singtel’s chief executive, Yuen Kuan Moon, the Optus chair, John Arthur, and its chief executive, Stephen Rue, in Sydney on Tuesday morning.

    On 18 September, a network firewall upgrade blocked emergency calls for Optus customers in South Australia, Western Australia, the Northern Territory and parts of New South Wales.

    The deaths of two people in SA and one in WA have been linked to the outages (a fourth death – an infant in SA – was found likely to have been unrelated).

    A separate outage on Sunday affected nine calls to the triple-zero network on one tower in the Illawarra region of NSW but Optus has confirmed the welfare of all who tried to call.

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    In comments after the meeting, Wells said she had conveyed that the outages had been “completely unacceptable” and could not be allowed to happen again. Wells said she sought assurances from Optus and Singtel that their upmost priority was restoring Australian confidence in triple zero, and she asked Singtel to appoint a role to hold Optus to account to ensure it makes the changes necessary.

    Asked whether she had confidence in Rue to remain as chief executive, Wells said he “has a lot of work to do”.

    “The CEO of Optus now needs to work with the parent company, Singtel on the systems and holistic change required within their own company to give that confidence back to Australians,” she said.

    Rue began as Optus chief executive last November after moving from the chief executive role at NBN. He replaced Kelly Bayer Rosmarin, who left the telco after the company suffered a massive data breach and a national mobile network outage that also resulted in triple-zero calls not being able to transfer to other mobile networks as they are supposed to.

    Moon told reporters on Tuesday Rue had been brought on to transform Optus, and it was “very early days”.

    “It takes time to transform a company,” Moon said. “An initial investigation of the 18 September incident … is due to a people issue, and it takes time to transform and change the people. He is here to provide the solution.”

    Arthur said Rue had been recruited to fix issues at Optus and the board was satisfied he was making progress – “but it is a work in progress”.

    Wells said while human error and technical error was involved in the 18 September outage, Optus was not in compliance with its obligations to the Australian people.

    The federal government has resisted calls from the opposition and the Greens to launch a wider inquiry into the triple-zero system, instead pointing to the Australian Communications and Media Authority investigation into the outage.

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    Wells said the company would face “significant consequences” but those decisions would be made after the Acma investigation.

    “Once that independent regulator investigation is complete it is for the Australian government to hand down any further penalties beyond what you could expect from the regulator, and any further systemwide change that may be required to give Australians confidence back,” she said.

    The shadow communications minister, Melissa McIntosh, ridiculed Wells after she described herself as a “new minister” – more than four months after her appointment to the portfolio.

    “The lacklustre performance by the communications minister this morning speaks volumes about what action she has been taking on this incredibly important issue,” she said.

    The Greens communications spokesperson, Sarah Hanson-Young, accused Wells of attempting to “wash her hands” of responsibility as she repeated calls for an immediate review of Optus’ operating licence.

    Speaking from Abu Dhabi, Albanese backed his minister.

    “Minister Wells has been very strong, as is entirely appropriate here, for what is an unacceptable failure of service by Optus to its customers and to the nation,” he said.

    Wells said the federal government would fast-track legislation to appoint a triple zero custodian, although it’s yet to be confirmed if that would happen when parliament returns next week.

    The government has not staffed the role for almost a year after it received a report on how the custodian should be structured.

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  • Pentagon review reportedly confirms Aukus submarines pact is safe | Aukus

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    The Aukus submarine deal will proceed as planned after reportedly surviving the Pentagon’s review of the security pact.

    The Japan-based Nikkei Asia reported the Trump administration would retain the original timeline for the $368bn program, which includes the US selling three Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines to Australia from 2032.

    A US war Department official would not confirm the report when contacted by Guardian Australia.

    “The Aukus initiative is still under review. We have no further Aukus updates to announce at this time,” the official said.

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    The prime minister, Anthony Albanese, acknowledged the review was still under way but was confident Aukus had the support of the US and the UK – the third partner in the pact.

    “We know that Aukus is in the interests of Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States,” Albanese said from Abu Dhabi, the last stop in an overseas trip that has included visits to the two Aukus allies.

    “It is about a partnership which is in the interest of all three nations which will make peace and security in our region so much stronger.”

    The review will be wrapped up before Albanese’s first scheduled face-to-face meeting with Donald Trump in the US on 20 October, Nikkei Asia reported.

    The future of Aukus has been under a cloud since the Pentagon launched an appraisal of the deal to determine if it aligned with Trump’s “America-first” agenda.

    The review has been conducted by the US under secretary of war for policy, Elbridge Colby, who has previously expressed scepticism about any deal that could weaken the US navy.

    One of the most significant concerns over Aukus in the US is its capacity to spare any nuclear-powered submarines to sell to Australia as it struggles to build enough for its own needs.

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    There has also been speculation the US has wanted clarity from Australia about how it respond in a potential US-China war over Taiwan.

    The federal government has already handed over $1.6bn to the US to support America’s shipbuilding capacity, with delivery of the first Virginia-class submarines to Australia in the early 2030s contingent on the US ramping up production.

    Australia’s government has never publicly expressed concern about the Pentagon review, arguing that it was standard procedure for a new administration to examine such an agreement, just as the UK did after a change of government.

    Earlier on Tuesday, Australia’s defence minister, Richard Marles, would not pre-empt the outcome of the Pentagon review but again expressed confidence that the deal was secure.

    “Aukus is happening – that’s not in question,” the acting prime minister told ABC Melbourne on Tuesday morning.

    “We’re very confident about the deal and we’ve been saying that all the way through, as we have also been saying that we welcome this review and will participate in it,” Marles said on Tuesday.

    “I’ve repeatedly said Aukus is going well; Aukus is happening at a pace; it is meeting all the milestones that it’s meant to be meeting and we are confident about this being the pathway for Australia acquiring its future submarine capability.”

    The US has also been pushing Australia to raise its overall defence spending to 3.5% of GDP, up from its current level of roughly 2%.

    Albanese has publicly resisted that pressure, insisting Australia will determine the nature and volume of its military spending.

    The federal government has made several new defence spending commitments while the review was under way, including $12bn to upgrade a Western Australian shipyard that will be used by the Aukus submarines.

    Albanese and Marles have confirmed the US navy will be able to use the Henderson defence precinct to dock and maintain its own ships.

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  • Indonesia school collapse: one dead, 65 buried under rubble as rescuers race to find survivors | Indonesia

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    At least one student has been killed, dozens injured and 65 presumed buried under rubble after a school building collapsed in Indonesia on Monday, with rescuers running oxygen and water to those who remained trapped more than 12 hours later.

    Rescue workers, police and soldiers digging through the night pulled out eight weak and injured survivors hours after the building at Al Khoziny Islamic boarding school in the East Java town of Sidoarjo collapsed while students were praying.

    Rescuers saw additional bodies, indicating the death toll was likely to rise.

    Families of the students gathered at hospitals or near the collapsed building, anxiously awaiting news of their children. Relatives wailed as they watched rescuers pull a dusty, injured student from the buried prayer hall.

    A relative weeps during the rescue operation at Al Khoziny Islamic boarding school. A school building collapse as students were performing afternoon prayers. Photograph: Fully Handoko/EPA

    A noticeboard at the command post set up in the boarding school complex listed 65 students as missing as of Tuesday morning. They were mostly boys in grades seven to 11, between the ages of 12 and 17.

    “Oh my God … my son is still buried, oh my God please help!” a mother cried hysterically upon seeing her child’s name on the board, followed by the cries of other parents whose relatives had suffered a similar fate.

    “Please, sir, please find my child immediately,” cried a father, holding the hand of one of the rescue team members.

    Heavy slabs of concrete and other rubble and unstable parts of the building hampered search and rescue efforts, said Nanang Sigit, a search and rescue officer who led the effort. Heavy equipment was available but not being used due to concerns that it could cause further collapse.

    “We have been running oxygen and water to those still trapped under the debris and keeping them alive while we work hard to get them out,” Sigit said. He added that rescuers saw several bodies under the rubble but were focused on saving those who were still alive.

    A rescuer searches for survivors. Those feared buried under the rubble are mostly between the ages of 12 and 17. Photograph: Fully Handoko/EPA

    Several hundred rescuers were involved in the effort and had equipment for breathing, extrication, medical evacuation and other support tools.

    The students had been performing afternoon prayers in a building that was undergoing an unauthorised expansion when it suddenly collapsed on top of them, provincial police spokesperson Jules Abraham Abast said.

    Residents, teachers and administrators assisted injured students, many with head injuries and broken bones. Female students were praying in another part of the building and managed to escape, survivors said.

    One male student, a 13-year-old boy, was killed and 99 other students were injured and taken to hospitals, some of them in critical condition, officials said.

    Authorities were investigating the cause of the collapse. Abast said the old prayer hall was two storeys but two more were being added without a permit.

    “The old building’s foundation was apparently unable to support two floors of concrete and collapsed during the pouring process,” Abast said.

    With Associated Press

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  • Melbourne’s men-only Savage Club ends trial of allowing women entry to dine two days a week | Australia news

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    The men-only Melbourne Savage Club has pulled the pin on allowing women to lunch there two days a week – but has left its exclusive doors open to potential future female participation.

    Under the “Female Dining Initiative”, the private club trialled mixed dining on Tuesdays and Wednesdays. “Lady guests” were allowed to have a pre-lunch tipple in the Social Room and lunch in the Dining Room.

    Before that, women were only welcome as guests at certain functions and after 4.30pm on weekdays.

    A survey last year found overwhelming opposition to allowing women as members. Just four men (2% of the membership) wanted to admit women.

    But many were in favour of being more “female friendly”, including by breaking a 130-year tradition to allow women to dine in one of the club’s multiple rooms.

    The trial allowing women guests for lunch, meant to run for six months, was announced in June and started in July.

    But this month, a rebel faction warned of uneasy wives and “Karens” – a term that has been described as racist, sexist and ageist – and called an extraordinary general meeting.

    The group wrote in an email that “the loud and boisterous bohemian behaviour that the club is famous for will now have to be tempered for fear of upsetting a ‘Karen’ at the other end of the dining room”.

    “Our wives no longer will have the comfort of knowing we are at a male-only venue, so long hours spent at the club will no longer be viewed as favourable on the home front,” the email says.

    Members were asked to vote yes or no on three options in a non-binding plebiscite.

    The first was a return to the original rules where “the club maintains its gentlemen-only dining policy in the Main Dining Room”, while female guests would still be allowed in the evenings and at specific events.

    The second was to continue allowing female guests access to the Dining Room and Social Room on Tuesdays and Wednesdays.

    The third was reducing that access to one day a week, a “ladies day when accompanied by a member”.

    On Tuesday, members were told the mixed dining trial had finished less than halfway through the planned six months, but that “future options” for mixed dining would be explored “in light of the feedback received through the recent plebiscite”.

    “These will be considered carefully and shared with the membership for input at an appropriate time,” the email says.

    The club, formed in 1894, describes its membership as sharing “a passion for music, art, drama, literature and science … unified by a bohemian spirit”.

    Guests can enjoy open fires, leather lounges, Heidelberg School paintings and “irreplaceable Polynesian and Melanesian artefacts”, its website promises.

    Mobile phones and electronic devices are not allowed and jackets and ties are required (presumably just for the male members and their male guests).

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  • ‘There is hope’: Australia welcomes Trump’s 20-point peace plan for Gaza | Gaza

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    The Australian government has welcomed the Trump administration’s 20-point peace plan for Gaza and says it leaves the door open to a two-state solution.

    The acting prime minister, Richard Marles, told ABC radio on Tuesday the plan represents hope for the region to end hostilities and see aid flow into Gaza and hostages returned.

    “Our view, ultimately, is that the only way that there will be an enduring peace in the Middle East is if there are two states,” he said. “The plan, as it’s been articulated, that keeps the door open for all of that. So that’s where we see that there is hope.

    “We certainly welcome this and we do thank the Americans for the efforts that they have put in here … There have been plans in the past, of course, and so, you know, we’re not there yet. But I think it does represent hope.”

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    The US president, Donald Trump, announced the plan alongside the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, on Tuesday, which states Gaza would be governed by a transitional “apolitical” committee.

    That committee would be headed by Trump and include former British prime minister Tony Blair.

    Asked whether the government would trust Trump to “govern” Gaza, Marles said the board would include a number of “very significant people internationally”.

    Marles added the government did not want to see the annexation of Palestinian territories, in response to comments by Netanyahu that Israel would “finish the job by itself” if Hamas rejected the plan.

    “Certainly what we have seen play out is a matter of real concern from the Australian government’s point of view,” Marles said. “We absolutely do not want to see an annexation of these territories.”

    The opposition has also said the plan represents “hope”.

    “We all want to see the war end and we always knew that the only peace that could be brokered would be brokered by the US. So there is hope today,” the Liberal leader, Sussan Ley, told Sunrise on Tuesday.

    The Liberal senator and former Australian ambassador to Israel, Dave Sharma, told the Today show the plan was the most detailed and comprehensive agreement put forward since 7 October.

    “I think it does have a good chance of success but I think the real difficulty here will be getting Hamas to agree,” he said. “ Hamas is being asked to sign its own extinction warrant here.

    “I think Trump’s plan envisages a future role for the Palestinian Authority and I think that’s important. I think that’s something Australia should support. They are the legitimate political body of the Palestinian people.”

    The Coalition has said it would revoke Australia’s recognition of Palestinian statehood, which the prime minister committed to at the UN general assembly earlier this month.

    The plan has attracted some criticism, including from Greens who said Palestinians must “have the right to determine their own future.”

    In a statement, deputy leader Mehreen Faruqi criticised the involvement of Trump and Blair in the plan, and said it was not a “good faith choice” for Palestinian people.

    “The US doesn’t even accept the right of Palestinians to have a state of their own, so I have no faith that this isn’t just continued occupation with different faces,” said Faruqi.

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  • China court sentences 11 people to death over alleged role in family-run Myanmar scam operations | China

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    A court in China has sentenced 11 people to death for their alleged roles in a family-run crime syndicate accused of running illegal gambling and scam operations worth more than $1.4bn, and for the deaths of workers who disobeyed them.

    The Wenzhou intermediate people’s court on Monday sentenced 11 members of the powerful Ming family in Kokkang, Myanmar to death while another five were handed death sentences suspended for two years.

    A further 12 defendants received jail sentences of between five and 24 years. Two-year suspended death sentences are often converted to life in prison.

    China issued arrest warrants for four members of the Ming family in November 2023 on suspicion of fraud, murder and illegal detention as part of a crackdown on illegal scam operations near the border with Myanmar.

    The syndicate had “relied on armed force” to establish multiple compounds in Kokang, the court said in a statement posted on social media.

    The court alleged the group had killed 14 people, including 10 involved in fraud who had tried to escape from the group or disobeyed its management. It cited one incident in October 2023, when the accused allegedly “opened fire” on people at a scam compound to prevent them from being transferred back to China.

    The group’s operations attracted numerous “financial backers” to whom it provided armed protection, the court said.

    Scam centres, in which criminals run sophisticated online scams targeting people all over the world, have proliferated in countries in south-east Asia, including Myanmar, Laos and Cambodia.

    They often use trafficked workers who are forced to conduct romance-based investment scams as part of a globalised industry that the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime estimates is worth $40bn annually.

    In April, the UN warned that Chinese and south-east Asian gangs are raking in tens of billions of dollars a year through cyber scam centres.

    China is cracking down on scam centres in the region through joint operations or coordinating with local police forces.

    In February, China, Myanmar and Thailand exerted pressure on scam centres located along the Thai-Myanmar border, resulting in the release of more than 7,000 workers, most of whom were Chinese citizens.

    With Associated Press and Agence France-Presse

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  • Jim Chalmers’ budget victory lap outpaces reality as Australia’s debt continues to climb | Australian economy

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    It’s official, Jim Chalmers has not managed the budgetary equivalent of a “three-peat”.

    After delivering two straight surpluses, Monday’s final budget outcome confirmed the country’s finances slumped to a deficit of $10bn in 2024-25.

    A small and expected deficit for the recent financial year is no disaster, but nor is it great news.

    So why were Chalmers and Katy Gallagher, the finance minister, doing a victory lap on Monday, trumpeting the government’s “responsible economic management”?

    Because it could have been worse.

    The pre-election economic and fiscal outlook forecast a deficit of $27.9bn in 2024-25.

    Which means the final budget outcome for the last financial year has come in about $18bn better than anticipated, thanks in large part to a much bigger than anticipated tax take from workers and companies.

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    Which is good.

    But Gallagher went even further, boasting to journalists that the budget was “getting in better shape” and that “it means we’re able to lower the debt” and “we’ve lowered the interest bill on that debt”.

    None of those three statements is true.

    The budget is not “getting in better shape”, unless you reckon shifting from a surplus to a deficit – with an even wider deficit predicted for this financial year – is an improvement.

    Meanwhile, debt is climbing, not falling, as is the interest we have to pay on that debt.

    In fact, interest payments are the fastest-growing major payment in the budget, at an estimated annual average of 9.5% over the coming decade.

    Luckily, while the government spin may be out of control, the budget isn’t.

    As Chalmers has been keen to point out, most other similar countries would love to be in our position.

    A small deficit worth 0.4% of GDP looks fantastic when compared with the United States’ extraordinary deficit worth 6.4% of its economy.

    The same is true for our debt burden, which, while expanding, is equivalent to 50% of GDP, including the states and territories.

    In contrast, the average among the G20 countries is over 100%.

    But is it enough to be the best of a bad lot?

    Luke Yeaman, CBA’s chief economist and a former deputy Treasury secretary, says “right now we have a strong fiscal position”.

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    “We have a AAA credit rating and the government has delivered two surpluses and now a reasonably small deficit,” Yeaman says.

    He agrees that this strong position looks even better when compared with other similar economies.

    But he says the international comparison should serve as both a comfort for today and a warning for tomorrow.

    “It is the boiling frog,” he says.

    “There is still at the heart of the budget a structural challenge that is not being met. And the people who will bear the consequences will be future generations.”

    That structural challenge involves climbing spending commitments that have to be met with an ever-rising tax take, the burden of which increasingly falls on younger workers.

    The budget predicts that the deficit dwindles away to nearly zero over the coming decade.

    But that budget repair only happens because workers pay a steadily higher average share of their wages on income tax, in a phenomenon known as “bracket creep”.

    A recent analysis by the Parliamentary Budget Office shows that to eventually balance the books, the average worker’s tax rate will rise from 25% now to 27% by the mid-2030s.

    Assuming no further tax relief, total personal income tax as a share of overall government revenue will climb from 48% to 53% over the coming decade.

    This government or future ones will have to grapple with telling voters they need to accept higher taxes or lower spending on services, Yeaman says.

    “Ultimately there’s a choice to be made.”

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  • Retailers say tax rises could further fuel inflation as shop prices jump | Retail industry

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    Retailers have told the government that tax rises could further fuel inflation as the pace of shop price rises stepped up in September with increases on home improvement and gardening goods offsetting stabilising food prices.

    Annual shop price inflation rose to 1.4% in September, up from 0.9% in August, according to the latest monthly report from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and analysts NIQ.

    A year and a half of deflation on non-food goods appears set to come to an end, according to the trade body, with prices just 0.1% lower year on year in September compared with an annual drop of 0.8% in August.

    Falling prices on back-to-school items such as laptops dampened inflation on other household items including DIY goods. Annual food price inflation, which has been steadily accelerating all year, levelled out at 4.2% in September – the same rate as in August.

    Helen Dickinson, the BRC chief executive, said: “Households are finding shopping increasingly expensive. The impact on retailers and their supply chain of both global factors and higher national insurance and wage costs is playing out in prices for consumers.”

    She said high energy and labour costs, including the government’s rise in employers’ national insurance payments (NICs), continued to push up input prices for many producers, including farmers, with dairy and beef prices remaining high.

    However, Mike Watkins, the head of retailer and business insight at NIQ, said low consumer confidence meant retailers were likely to have to continue offering promotions and deals to ring up sales.

    “With inflationary pressures persisting, many shoppers remain concerned about their personal finances and are becoming increasingly price-sensitive,” he said.

    The BRC figures are the latest indication that food inflation has peaked, with retailers expecting it to ease late this year or from early 2026.

    However, earlier this month the Bank of England held off from implementing a cut in interest rates on fears that rising food prices were putting upwards pressure on headline inflation.

    Rachel Reeves has hinted that tax rises or spending cuts could be on the way as the chancellor faces having to find up to £30bn to plug a spending gap amid slower than hoped for growth and expected changes to official calculations on UK productivity.

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    “The new packaging tax, set to take effect in October, will put further upward pressure on inflation,” Dickinson said. “While retailers continue to absorb higher costs as much as possible and deliver value to customers, any further tax rises in the upcoming budget would keep shop prices higher for longer.

    “Ultimately, it is British households who will bear the consequences – positive or negative – of the chancellor’s decisions.”

    Retailers face a £7bn increase in costs this year, according to the BRC, after changes were introduced in April to employers’ NICs, packaging levies and the legal minimum wage.

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